Nebula Research & Analytics

Are We in Bubble? Seeing negative divergence for Market to Gold Economy slumps but market at its peak, making new peaks but on the dark side, our economy has slowed down & slowing further, many rating agencies has cut down the global growth, and India's GDP forecast, sourced by  MOSPI (Ministry Of Statistics & Programme Implementation). So why market keeps trading higher & hovers near high, well possible sign of bubble, because market keeps trading at high due to few companies such as Reliance, Hdfc , Hdfcbank  etc. Plus after  Q3  Earnings of Reliance &  HdfcBank , price is correcting, so for short-term, we can see possible correction of 2%-3%. Nifty Bank corrects as  PSUs  & PVT Banks are correcting. Correlation shows negative divergences. Gold making positive divergence & retracing towards 1575-1580, Gold is in  uptrend  already. USDINR  FX making positive divergence & retracing towards 71.35-71.45.  USDINR  already is in  uptre

Reliance Industries Limited The Behemoth worth of 10000000000000 (10.01 Trillion). Reliance beats the estimates, profit boosted by Retails and Jio, although, the revenues decline 2.21% to 152,939cr from 156397 cr Dec 18 Q3. Yet, it successfully beat the profit estimates to 11784cr (+ 13.8%) as compared to 10352 %cr in Q318 Dec. Highest consolidated Q3 Net Profit reported ever. Company's accounted decline in revenue because of declining 6% fall in Brent price, which was partially offset by a continuing growth momentum in consumer businesses. GRM can be a concern to few investors that invest on margin basis in petro biz. Because, company reported GRM of $ 9.2 per barrel for the qtr from $9.4 previous qtr.  But YoY basis, it was $8.8. Because of declining revenues in petrochemical, fell 19%. Company said already, it would take 12-18 months for petrochem prices ro improve. Joint vc of 49% in petro retail with BP for billion dollar USD with purpose of expanding petro re

Nifty 13000 or 11000 before Polls Outcome! Our Conclusion 13000!  Nifty closed at 11754.65 on last trading session after sustaining the support at 11550, Market confronted the fear as Vix surged to 25 and fallen to 21.75. In midst of election, we’re seeing Nifty composites surging 4% to 5% weekly average basis. In earnings season, as optimism over market and their estimates number are beating pessimists & bearish players. And market data and other large cap stocks and their performances are all depicting a remaining rise towards 13000. Global market are surging and trending up. Dowjones30 Index surged 4.5% up from 25450 to 26580 in a month, which is why global market sentiment is positive. S&P 500 Index surged 7.2% up from 2750 to 2950 in a month. Nasdaq 100 Index surged to 11.9% up from 7010 to 7844 in a month. So, where are the barriers? We witnessed major rise in India Vix from 14 to 25, almost 150% rise in a month. We can expect un

Number 786? Where Heromotoco headed in the Aftermath of the budget & results Hero Motocorp Ltd result brought a little disappointing numbers in Q3FY19, a revenue of 7864cr from Q2FY19 9090cr, but on a YoY basis, Hero clocked a moderate growth in revenue from 7305cr to 7864cr. Experts quite expected the moderate growth but failed to see 13.48% lower than last Q2 fiscal numbers, led the net profit to 769cr from Q2FY19 976cr, A shock of 21.2%.But company increased their infrastructure, investing on innovation, brought many new bikes & scooty in the market, such as hero goodlife, destiny 125, Maestro edge that gained market share in scooty segment. Extreme 200r in sports bike segment, & new super splendor which is best for those who ask for mileage. And many more to come. So, where the hustle that led the growth slumped and overall was gave net profit down 21.2% from last Q2FY19. Many reasons are considered, but some of them are increased fuel prices, a rise in

Bajaj-Auto Bajaj-Auto reported Q3 FY19 results yesterday, EBITDA fell 6% to 1156 Q3FY19 from 1232 Q3FY18, Net profit rise to 1102cr from 952cr Q3FY18. Market experts considering this result as a mixed bag but all domestic & international volume growth surges to 1.25 million from 1 million, depicting strong growth over 25% YoY. Gaining market share in International market. Exports rising. Overall, result failed to make investors & trader happy that led the share price fall more than 3% to below 2500 from 2600 level. In 2018 Jan, Bajaj-Auto share price rose to 3468 from level of 2600 level in 2017 Jan, more than 33%, now price is back to below level of 2600 and hovers at 2500 level. Despite rising volume and net profit, company gaining market share, their exports rising yet it failed to cheer the investors & trader in 2018, and the sentiment led the price fell more than 25% in a year. _______________________________________________________________________